Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000578 0.000621 0.000665 0.000714 0.000766 0.000821 0.000883
2025-12-14 0.000505 0.000564 0.000627 0.000700 0.000782 0.000871 0.000976
2025-12-21 0.000453 0.000522 0.000599 0.000690 0.000796 0.000916 0.001061
2025-12-28 0.000404 0.000478 0.000562 0.000665 0.000788 0.000932 0.001111
2026-01-04 0.000370 0.000447 0.000538 0.000651 0.000791 0.000956 0.001170
2026-01-11 0.000347 0.000428 0.000525 0.000650 0.000806 0.000997 0.001247
2026-01-18 0.000329 0.000413 0.000516 0.000651 0.000824 0.001039 0.001328
2026-01-25 0.000312 0.000399 0.000506 0.000650 0.000837 0.001075 0.001401
2026-02-01 0.000293 0.000380 0.000490 0.000639 0.000838 0.001094 0.001451
2026-02-08 0.000276 0.000364 0.000476 0.000631 0.000840 0.001114 0.001503
2026-02-15 0.000262 0.000350 0.000464 0.000624 0.000843 0.001135 0.001557
2026-02-22 0.000249 0.000337 0.000453 0.000618 0.000847 0.001157 0.001612
2026-03-01 0.000238 0.000326 0.000445 0.000616 0.000858 0.001191 0.001689
2026-03-08 0.000225 0.000313 0.000432 0.000607 0.000859 0.001212 0.001748
2026-03-15 0.000213 0.000300 0.000421 0.000600 0.000862 0.001234 0.001810
2026-03-22 0.000198 0.000283 0.000401 0.000579 0.000843 0.001225 0.001824
2026-03-29 0.000187 0.000270 0.000388 0.000567 0.000837 0.001233 0.001866
2026-04-05 0.000179 0.000263 0.000382 0.000566 0.000847 0.001266 0.001944
2026-04-12 0.000173 0.000257 0.000378 0.000567 0.000861 0.001303 0.002031
2026-04-19 0.000167 0.000250 0.000372 0.000566 0.000870 0.001334 0.002110
2026-04-26 0.000159 0.000241 0.000362 0.000557 0.000866 0.001345 0.002157
2026-05-03 0.000152 0.000233 0.000353 0.000550 0.000865 0.001360 0.002209
2026-05-10 0.000146 0.000225 0.000346 0.000544 0.000865 0.001376 0.002266